Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 22.847200 26.427496 30.299275 34.786737 39.833434 45.322307 51.732164
2025-02-09 16.751450 21.702885 27.576576 35.004734 44.089778 54.777754 68.235390
2025-02-16 12.991948 18.454069 25.430632 34.873530 47.182404 62.531005 82.943137
2025-02-23 10.380784 15.970024 23.575188 34.471978 49.439419 69.000692 96.169454
2025-03-02 8.543094 14.121924 22.152390 34.245481 51.620327 75.248656 109.277794
2025-03-09 7.135822 12.611690 20.913143 33.990755 53.549957 81.096822 122.042363
2025-03-16 5.622336 10.650725 18.689950 31.944526 52.577364 82.655018 128.758536
2025-03-23 5.037745 10.099791 18.548164 32.992306 56.196124 90.941496 145.478669
2025-03-30 4.625407 9.770420 18.700983 34.478200 60.546471 100.519246 164.583255
2025-04-06 3.915715 8.775030 17.589123 33.736363 61.251479 104.545929 175.511791
2025-04-13 3.203030 7.642600 16.076200 32.119181 60.334810 105.910948 182.330059
2025-04-20 3.026039 7.556638 16.453989 33.838486 65.102092 116.535296 204.143389
2025-04-27 2.961713 7.729230 17.395519 36.770012 72.352986 131.907337 234.850213
2025-05-04 2.631084 7.267602 17.059506 37.328713 75.549816 140.903811 255.946164
2025-05-11 2.285779 6.701813 16.431902 37.251655 77.579331 148.042800 274.365997
2025-05-18 1.964088 6.121662 15.684677 36.838053 78.919000 154.029232 291.113005
2025-05-25 1.702857 5.635278 15.065524 36.600370 80.538961 160.556159 309.064441
2025-06-01 1.476755 5.189521 14.468767 36.331055 82.048976 166.935572 327.035173
2025-06-08 1.175696 4.452883 13.071436 34.163940 79.599800 165.940490 331.925308
2025-06-15 1.088333 4.331802 13.151205 35.273806 83.845374 177.519664 359.800886
2025-06-22 1.030305 4.290083 13.424433 36.847247 89.150791 191.348448 392.349151
2025-06-29 0.876923 3.895030 12.720429 36.061773 89.426813 195.602846 407.526101
2025-07-06 0.711983 3.407707 11.683555 34.348978 87.553273 195.558777 414.669346